Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 16.227651 18.401784 20.845012 23.810803 27.335969 31.420012 36.550286
2025-09-07 13.165259 15.878672 19.183046 23.560509 29.294639 36.676278 47.109734
2025-09-14 11.058022 13.857987 17.445025 22.474936 29.508557 39.253541 54.262326
2025-09-21 9.521412 12.278526 15.948350 21.324867 29.240923 40.881690 60.147337
2025-09-28 8.510266 11.245282 15.007292 20.734103 29.562419 43.269470 67.539397
2025-10-05 8.617494 11.738661 16.213250 23.367946 35.081998 54.647122 92.696257
2025-10-12 8.237201 11.478680 16.273122 24.234170 37.898975 62.104599 113.009822
2025-10-19 7.544796 10.683939 15.431201 23.531218 37.923868 64.563870 124.061189
2025-10-26 7.266304 10.486208 15.485511 24.298836 40.633666 72.566252 149.583255
2025-11-02 6.799725 9.952760 14.946157 23.970709 41.251019 76.516757 167.037143
2025-11-09 6.368756 9.440380 14.391962 23.544612 41.601278 79.957512 184.438028
2025-11-16 6.020633 9.034700 13.978563 23.322164 42.313252 84.327336 206.062474
2025-11-23 5.616415 8.523641 13.369106 22.717691 42.258723 87.199122 225.522466
2025-11-30 5.307041 8.150330 12.970081 22.476180 42.956633 92.104740 254.023240
2025-12-07 4.910091 7.601221 12.215483 21.453805 41.775613 92.011623 265.745322
2025-12-14 4.539949 7.075837 11.466240 20.369433 40.306931 90.878703 273.440963
2025-12-21 4.275989 6.718927 10.998230 19.812066 39.986224 92.818114 294.165755
2025-12-28 4.435258 7.112831 11.943592 22.295149 47.369327 118.820740 435.002708
2026-01-04 4.365743 7.091335 12.100998 23.110774 50.779395 134.202206 544.227507
2026-01-11 4.129722 6.751673 11.616799 22.448921 50.197388 136.396526 585.077723
2026-01-18 4.063673 6.721329 11.737452 23.171643 53.505784 153.113168 731.965782
2026-01-25 3.892610 6.484476 11.428060 22.862754 53.872335 159.373149 818.900046
2026-02-01 3.723809 6.242994 11.093427 22.461535 53.913086 164.472770 905.134705